Category Archives: Forecasts
“As the rate of technological change in computing slows, the number of jobs for IT specialists will decelerate, then actually turn down; ten years from now, the phrase information economy will sound silly.” —Paul Krugman, 1998 “Between 1998 and 2008, … Continue reading
The December issue of IEEE Spectrum has a great cover story on Ray Kurzweil’s failed predictions. Says John Renne:
IDC forecast the number of business email subscribers (e.g., Blackberry) to grow 36.5% annually and surpass 250 million in 2014.